Published October 25, 2026 in Market Update

Paradise Valley prices rose even as homes took longer to sell

By Laura Pentecost-Langer
Real estate, Paradise Valley

The one fact that changes what you should do: prices in Paradise Valley rose sharply, but buyers are taking longer. That means prep and timing matter more than they did a year ago.

Median sale price in 85253, three months ending August 31, 2026
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 99 homes sold in ZIP 85253 in the three months ending August 31, 2026. That is up 4.2% from the same period in 2025. Prices followed: the median reached $3,700,000, up 12.1% year over year. For context, Redfin reported U.S. home prices rose 3.8% year over year in September. Paradise Valley moved more than three times that.

85253 at a glance, three months ending August 31, 2026
Median sale price
Up 12.1% year over year
Homes sold
Up 4.2% year over year
Median days on market
17 days longer than a year ago
Months of supply
Down 0.6 months year over year
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

Buyers are taking longer, but more are committing quickly

The median home in 85253 sat on the market 106 days, 17 days longer than a year ago, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator. That is a real shift. But here is the other side: 23.4% of homes went under contract within two weeks of listing. That share rose 6.6 points from a year earlier. So the right home, priced well and ready to show, can still move fast.

Speed to contract: two weeks or longer, 85253 vs. 85018
85253 under contract in 2 weeks23.4%85018 under contract in 2 weeks19.2%85253 sold above list8.1%85018 sold above list2.7%
Real Estate Data Aggregator, three months ending August 31, 2026.

How 85253 and 85018 compare

Paradise Valley spans two ZIP codes. The story in each one is different. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 147 homes sold in 85018 in the three months ending August 31, 2026, up 27.8% from a year ago. But the median sale price there fell 7.5% to $1,207,500. More sales, lower prices. In 85253 it was the opposite: fewer homes, higher prices, and buyers taking longer.

ZIP code comparison, three months ending August 31, 2026
8525385018
Median sale price$3,700,000$1,207,500
Price change year over year+12.1%-7.5%
Homes sold99147
Median days on market10672
Sale to list price94.8%96.5%
Real Estate Data Aggregator, three months ending August 31, 2026.

What is happening with rates and national inventory

Rates are not helping buyers decide faster. Redfin reported the weekly average mortgage rate hit 7.4% for the four weeks ending October 18, 2026. That puts the median U.S. monthly mortgage payment at $2,796, also per Redfin. Realtor.com noted rates climbed above 7% for the first time since January 2025. Nationally, Realtor.com counted 1.16 million active listings in September 2026. More choices for buyers can mean more time spent deciding, which fits what we see locally.

Zillow reported that newly pending existing home sales dropped 12.8% year over year on a rolling average weekly basis as of October 23, 2026. That is a national signal. Paradise Valley bucked it: the Real Estate Data Aggregator counted pending sales across both ZIP codes at 245, up 7.5% from a year ago.

Pending sales across Paradise Valley, year over year
Three months ending Aug 31, 2026
Same period, 2025 (implied)
Real Estate Data Aggregator. 245 pending sales in 2026, up 7.5% from the same period in 2025.

What this means for sellers in Paradise Valley

In 85253, homes for sale fell 5.7% to 166, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator. Less competition is good for sellers. But 106 median days on market is real. Buyers have more time and more choices nationally. The homes that went under contract in two weeks were likely priced right and well prepared. The sale to list ratio in 85253 was 94.8%, up 0.5 points from a year ago. Sellers are getting closer to their asking price than they were last year, which is a quiet sign of strength.

Seller signals in 85253, three months ending August 31, 2026
Sale to list ratio
Up 0.5 points year over year
Sold above list
Up 3.9 points year over year
New listings
Up 4.5% year over year
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026
In short
  1. Paradise Valley prices in 85253 rose 12.1% year over year to $3,700,000, well above the 3.8% national gain Redfin reported.
  2. Sales rose too.
  3. But buyers are taking 106 days on average, 17 more than a year ago.
  4. The homes that sold in two weeks were the exception, not the rule.
  5. In 85018, more homes sold but prices slipped 7.5%.
  6. One market, two very different stories by ZIP code.

One street can read very differently from the whole ZIP code. The numbers above cover broad areas. Your block, your floor plan, and your price point each shift the picture. I am happy to show you what the data says about homes like yours specifically.

Your next step

(602) 702-7001

Text me what you want in a home, and I will send you the homes for sale in Paradise Valley that fit.

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Where these numbers came from
Laura Pentecost-Langer
5 Star Property Brokers at HomeSmart · (602) 702-7001
Laura Pentecost-Langer is a licensed real estate agent with 5 Star Property Brokers at HomeSmart. Market numbers come from MLS records and are believed accurate but not guaranteed. Nothing on this site is an appraisal or a promise of value. If your home is already listed with another broker, this is not a solicitation.
© 2026 Laura Pentecost-Langer · Equal housing opportunity